Indonesia International Tourist Arrivals Near 2019 Levels in 2026
Indonesia’s international tourist arrivals are projected to equal or slightly surpass 2019 levels in 2026, with a year‑to‑date increase of 5.38 % to 10.58 million and an estimated total of 16.2 million visitors. The trend is reported by the Confederation of Indonesian Tourism Associations (GIPI) and reflects ongoing recovery in the sector.
In this story
At a glance
- What changes
- International arrivals are expected to reach 16.2 million, marginally above 2019
- Timing
- Data cover January‑August 2026 with full‑year projection
- Who is affected
- Tourists, hoteliers, airlines and travel agencies operating in Indonesia
The details
- Announced by
- Confederation of Indonesian Tourism Associations (GIPI)
- Previous rule
- In 2019 Indonesia recorded 16.11 million international tourist arrivals.
- New rule
- For 2026 arrivals are projected to reach 16.2 million, slightly above the 2019 figure.
Current Arrival Trends
From January to August 2026 the country welcomed 10.58 million international visitors, a 5.38 % increase compared with the same period in 2025. GIPI chairman Hariyadi Sukamdani said that if the upward trajectory continues, the full‑year total will exceed the 16.11 million recorded before the pandemic.
- Year‑to‑date growth: 5.38 % YoY
- Projected 2026 total: 16.2 million
Sector Performance
Despite higher arrival numbers, hotel occupancy remains below pre‑pandemic levels, averaging 49.26 % versus 54.99 % in 2019. The accommodation stock grew to 34,702 units in 2025, up from 27,607 in 2021, yet utilisation has not kept pace.
Air traffic data show a reduction in aircraft numbers to 560 in 2026 from 616 in 2019, and international passenger volumes fell to 34.7 million, down from 37.3 million in 2019.
- Hotel occupancy 2026: 49.26 % (2019: 54.99 %)
- Aircraft fleet 2026: 560 (2019: 616)
- International air passengers 2026: 34.7 million (2019: 37.3 million)
Industry Response
GIPI plans to collaborate with the Association of Indonesian Tours and Travel Agencies to develop packages that combine recreation parks, spas and regional destinations such as Padang, Medan and Bandung. The aim is to stimulate demand beyond Java, where high airfares remain a barrier.
Local governments continue to benefit from hotel and restaurant taxes, with Jakarta and Bali generating significant revenue, while the Ministry of Tourism’s 2026 budget targets around 1.8 trillion rupiah.
- Targeted promotion of regional hubs
- Focus on package deals with recreation and spa sectors
- Tourism budget 2026: ~1.8 trillion rupiah
What this means for travellers
Trip planning
- Travelers can expect similar entry requirements as before, with no new visa restrictions announced.
- Hotel availability may remain tight in popular areas due to occupancy rates below 2019 levels.
Cost and documents
- Visa fees remain unchanged; no additional documentation is required for 2026 arrivals.
- Airfare pricing is still a challenge for routes outside Java, potentially affecting travel budgets.
What you need to do
- Monitor airline pricing for non‑Java destinations and consider flexible dates.
- Check hotel occupancy trends in Jakarta and Bali before finalising bookings.
Who this affects
-
International tourists
Overall arrival numbers are projected to exceed pre‑pandemic levels in 2026.
-
Hotel operators
Occupancy rates remain below 2019 levels despite increased visitor numbers.
-
Airlines
Aircraft fleet size and international passenger volumes are still below 2019 figures.
-
Travel agencies
GIPI will work with agencies to create new regional packages and promote non‑Java destinations.
-
Local governments
Continued collection of hotel and restaurant taxes contributes to regional revenues.
Frequently asked questions
How many international tourists are expected to visit Indonesia in 2026?
Indonesia is projected to receive about 16.2 million international tourists in 2026, slightly above the 16.11 million recorded in 2019.
Is the increase in arrivals reflected in hotel occupancy rates?
No, hotel occupancy in 2026 averages 49.26 %, which is still lower than the 54.99 % occupancy seen in 2019 despite higher arrival numbers.
What is the current state of Indonesia's airline fleet compared with 2019?
The number of aircraft operating in Indonesia fell to 560 in 2026, down from 616 in 2019, indicating a reduced fleet size.
Will I need a new visa or additional documents to travel to Indonesia in 2026?
No new visa requirements or additional documentation have been announced for 2026; existing entry rules remain in effect.
How are tourism revenues performing in Indonesia for 2026?
Visa fee revenue reached 5.03 trillion rupiah in 2024, and the Ministry of Tourism’s 2026 budget targets around 1.8 trillion rupiah, showing strong fiscal contributions from tourism.
